Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.163052 5.612077 6.112152 6.716775 7.437050 8.279843 9.359869
2025-01-12 4.383236 4.920799 5.557247 6.384202 7.459577 8.857971 10.906739
2025-01-19 3.815848 4.380096 5.077602 6.033715 7.366374 9.263272 12.420088
2025-01-26 3.616174 4.256824 5.089423 6.307554 8.165178 11.169173 17.306098
2025-02-02 3.566500 4.315209 5.344276 6.970656 9.754154 15.168075 31.186001
2025-02-09 3.418632 4.220975 5.371485 7.305606 10.965000 19.527778 62.286041
2025-02-16 3.259973 4.091373 5.325818 7.514304 12.058281 25.022523 202.893019
2025-02-23 3.099908 3.941380 5.226487 7.608865 12.986622 31.882561 NaN
2025-03-02 2.880371 3.682565 4.922629 7.267265 12.768353 34.321401 NaN
2025-03-09 2.732764 3.520553 4.759000 7.166705 13.144863 41.137544 NaN
2025-03-16 2.554923 3.299397 4.476042 6.784298 12.624600 41.817252 NaN
2025-03-23 2.455665 3.193234 4.377122 6.761560 13.146676 52.893437 NaN
2025-03-30 2.342961 3.071049 4.260896 6.733512 13.840240 76.055198 NaN
2025-04-06 2.203896 2.898696 4.043018 6.454094 13.612763 89.709625 NaN
2025-04-13 2.071808 2.730313 3.819711 6.133465 13.136083 97.947720 NaN
2025-04-20 2.036638 2.715673 3.869757 6.444868 15.277031 541.685990 NaN
2025-04-27 2.046065 2.774508 4.062238 7.160929 20.383138 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.012275 2.757877 4.109774 7.533450 24.886297 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.966974 2.717846 4.106326 7.770110 29.506243 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.914498 2.661490 4.063435 7.882597 33.874114 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.829827 2.543456 3.882366 7.527321 32.256497 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.770979 2.468462 3.785960 7.426111 33.886822 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.693323 2.356506 3.604382 7.023069 30.900151 NaN NaN